Geopolitical Predictive Analysis – August 2019

August 19

Far-right attacks to become USA’s primary militant threat. Lone-wolf incidents remain most likely.

Growing crime in South Africa. Troop deployment to Cape Town unlikely to halt violence.

India-Pakistan conflict. Ceasefire violations to continue as tensions over Kashmir rise.

Italy heads towards political instability. Elections remain unlikely before fourth quarter of 2019.

Death of Tunisian President. Ruling party to lose power in upcoming parliamentary elections.