Geopolitical Predictive Analysis – February 2020

March 20

COVID-19 outbreak’s impact on China: Beijing unlikely to meet conditions of current trade deal with US.

Malawi court nullifies 2019 presidential election: Heightened political uncertainty amid new campaigns, inter-party tensions.

Bukele brings armed forces into El Salvador’s Congress: Tensions in parliament expected to mount.

Merkel’s successor resigns over far-right controversy: German governing coalition increasingly unstable.

EU operation off coast of Libya: Likely to increase EU-Turkey tensions.