Geopolitical Predictive Analysis – October 2019

October 19

Turkish “Safe Zone” in Syria: To increase the influence of the Syrian government, Turkey, and Russia

Ethiopian PM awarded Nobel Peace Prize: Continues to confront regional and ethnic tensions

Violent unrest in Ecuador: Further protests liable despite President’s U-turn on subsidies

Sri Lanka elections: Gotabaya, Premadasa to remain frontrunners in November’s presidential polls

Violence in Catalonia after sentencing: Potential for sustained regional unrest in coming months