Protest

22
Mar 2024
11:24 UTC

Argentina Tactical: Remembrance Day protests slated in multiple cities nationwide, including Buenos Aires on March 24; maintain heightened vigilance

Current Situation

  • Multiple events, including protests, will be held nationwide on March 24 to commemorate the 48th anniversary of the Dia Nacional de la Memoria por la Verdad y la Justicia (Day of Remembrance for Truth and Justice). These events are part of the commemoration of the victims of the military coup that took place between 1976 and 1983.
  • Details regarding the protest locations and timings are as follows:
    • In Buenos Aires, several groups have called for commemorative protests, including labor unions namely the Confederacion General del Trabajo (CGT), Central de Trabajadores Autonoma (CTA), and human rights groups like Madres de Plaza de Mayo.
    • Activists will march from different locations across the city towards Plaza de Mayo from 12:00-14:00 (local time).
    • The left-wing group La Campora, will gather in front of the Espacio Memoria y Derechos Humanos (ESMA, museum) located at Avenida del Libertador 8151 at 12:00 and march towards Plaza de Mayo.
    • Another group will hold a protest at the intersection of Avenida 9 de Julio and Avenida de Mayo from 14:00 onwards.

 

    • In Cordoba, human rights activists will protest at the intersection of Avenida Colon and Avenida General Paz at 17:00.
    • In Mendoza, participants will protest on Gutierrez 453, in front of a commercial establishment on M5500 Street at 17:00.
    • In Rosario, participants are scheduled to protest at Plaza San Martin at 15:00.

 

Assessments & Forecast

  1. Based on similar commemorative marches on March 24, 2023, the slated protests are likely to draw a turnout in the low-to-mid-thousands each. However, the demonstrations in Cordoba and Rosario are likely to observe a turnout in the high thousands, while in Buenos Aires, at Plaza de Mayo, the demonstration is expected to see a turnout in the mid-tens of thousands.  
  2. Additionally, spontaneous gatherings can be anticipated in other major urban areas across the nation on the same day.  
  3. Although the March 24 events usually take place in a peaceful manner, due to the expected size of the gathering in Buenos Aires, localized instances of unrest cannot be ruled out. Further, given heightened sentiments over President Javier Milei’s administration’s economic policies, the potential for unrest remains nationwide. Should these occur, they are liable to be between left-wing groups and members of other right-wing groups. Demonstrations in other locations are likely to transpire largely peacefully.    
  4. A bolstered security deployment is likely to be witnessed in the vicinity of the protest locations to monitor proceedings.    
  5. Significant disruptions to pedestrian and vehicular traffic are anticipated in the vicinity of the above-mentioned locations during the slated timings. 

 

Recommendations

  1. Those operating or residing in the aforementioned cities in Argentina on March 24 are advised to maintain heightened vigilance due to the potential for civil unrest amid slated protests.  
  2. Allot for disruptions to travel throughout the day due to the planned demonstrations.    
COUNTRY RISK LEVEL Low
AFFECTED AREA Argentina
INCIDENT RISK LEVEL Medium
STRENGTH OF SOURCE Credible

Current Situation

  • Multiple events, including protests, will be held nationwide on March 24 to commemorate the 48th anniversary of the Dia Nacional de la Memoria por la Verdad y la Justicia (Day of Remembrance for Truth and Justice). These events are part of the commemoration of the victims of the military coup that took place between 1976 and 1983.
  • Details regarding the protest locations and timings are as follows:
    • In Buenos Aires, several groups have called for commemorative protests, including labor unions namely the Confederacion General del Trabajo (CGT), Central de Trabajadores Autonoma (CTA), and human rights groups like Madres de Plaza de Mayo.
    • Activists will march from different locations across the city towards Plaza de Mayo from 12:00-14:00 (local time).
    • The left-wing group La Campora, will gather in front of the Espacio Memoria y Derechos Humanos (ESMA, museum) located at Avenida del Libertador 8151 at 12:00 and march towards Plaza de Mayo.
    • Another group will hold a protest at the intersection of Avenida 9 de Julio and Avenida de Mayo from 14:00 onwards.

 

    • In Cordoba, human rights activists will protest at the intersection of Avenida Colon and Avenida General Paz at 17:00.
    • In Mendoza, participants will protest on Gutierrez 453, in front of a commercial establishment on M5500 Street at 17:00.
    • In Rosario, participants are scheduled to protest at Plaza San Martin at 15:00.

 

Assessments & Forecast

  1. Based on similar commemorative marches on March 24, 2023, the slated protests are likely to draw a turnout in the low-to-mid-thousands each. However, the demonstrations in Cordoba and Rosario are likely to observe a turnout in the high thousands, while in Buenos Aires, at Plaza de Mayo, the demonstration is expected to see a turnout in the mid-tens of thousands.  
  2. Additionally, spontaneous gatherings can be anticipated in other major urban areas across the nation on the same day.  
  3. Although the March 24 events usually take place in a peaceful manner, due to the expected size of the gathering in Buenos Aires, localized instances of unrest cannot be ruled out. Further, given heightened sentiments over President Javier Milei’s administration’s economic policies, the potential for unrest remains nationwide. Should these occur, they are liable to be between left-wing groups and members of other right-wing groups. Demonstrations in other locations are likely to transpire largely peacefully.    
  4. A bolstered security deployment is likely to be witnessed in the vicinity of the protest locations to monitor proceedings.    
  5. Significant disruptions to pedestrian and vehicular traffic are anticipated in the vicinity of the above-mentioned locations during the slated timings. 

 

Recommendations

  1. Those operating or residing in the aforementioned cities in Argentina on March 24 are advised to maintain heightened vigilance due to the potential for civil unrest amid slated protests.  
  2. Allot for disruptions to travel throughout the day due to the planned demonstrations.    
COUNTRY RISK LEVEL Low
AFFECTED AREA Argentina
INCIDENT RISK LEVEL Medium
STRENGTH OF SOURCE Credible