Protest

02
Nov 2024
10:17 UTC

Europe Tactical (UPDATE): Protests related to Israel-Hamas conflict to be held in several cities regionwide on November 2-3; maintain heightened vigilance

Current Situation

  • Reports indicate that protests related to the Israel-Hamas conflict are scheduled in several cities across Europe on November 2-3. Details regarding the same are as follows:
  • In Copenhagen, Denmark, a pro-Palestinian protest march will take place from Norreport Station to Banegardspladsen from 14:00 (local time). Details of the protest route have not been revealed as of writing.

Source: Allepaagaden

  • In Paris, France, a pro-Palestinian protest will take place at Place de la Republique from 14:00 on November 3.
  • In Berlin, Germany, a pro-Palestinian protest will take place outside the  Bettenhochhaus Charite hospital on Luisenstrasse from 14:00 (local time) on November 3.
  • In London, UK, a pro-Israel protest has been organized at the north side of Vauxhall Bridge at the corner of Bessborough Gardens from 12:30 on November 2.
  • This protest has been organized to counter the protest by the Palestine Solidarity Campaign (PSC) slated from Whitehall to the US Embassy at 12:00 on November 2

Assessments & Forecast

  1. Based on precedent and social media estimates, the slated protests are likely to witness turnouts ranging from the high hundreds to high thousands each. While the pro-Israel protest is likely to see a turnout in the mid-to-high hundreds, the PSC protest may see a turnout upwards to the low tens of thousands.
  2. In addition to the aforementioned protests, the risk of spontaneous pro-Palestinian and pro-Israel demonstrations remains heightened regionwide during the coming weekend. Such protests are likely to occur near central government buildings, Israeli and US diplomatic missions, Jewish and Muslim establishments, and prominent public places in major urban centers across Europe.
  3. Based on precedent, any planned or spontaneous demonstrations carry a heightened potential for unrest. Incidents of unrest are likely to manifest as clashes between protesters and the police, as well as with potential counter-protesters. As such, the demonstrations in London carry an especially heightened risk for unrest as opposing groups may clash.
  4. A bolstered security presence near protest locations is expected to be deployed near all protests monitor proceedings. In the event of escalating unrest, police are liable to use forcible crowd dispersal methods, including conducting mass arrests.
  5. Disruptions to pedestrian and vehicular movement, including road closures and traffic diversions, should be anticipated near the protest locations.

Recommendations

  1. Those operating or residing in Europe on November 2-3 are advised to maintain heightened vigilance near protests related to the Israel-Hamas conflict due to the elevated potential for unrest.
  2. Allot for travel-related disruptions in the vicinity of the protest location.
COUNTRY RISK LEVEL Low
AFFECTED AREA Europe
INCIDENT RISK LEVEL Medium
STRENGTH OF SOURCE Credible

Current Situation

  • Reports indicate that protests related to the Israel-Hamas conflict are scheduled in several cities across Europe on November 2-3. Details regarding the same are as follows:
  • In Copenhagen, Denmark, a pro-Palestinian protest march will take place from Norreport Station to Banegardspladsen from 14:00 (local time). Details of the protest route have not been revealed as of writing.

Source: Allepaagaden

  • In Paris, France, a pro-Palestinian protest will take place at Place de la Republique from 14:00 on November 3.
  • In Berlin, Germany, a pro-Palestinian protest will take place outside the  Bettenhochhaus Charite hospital on Luisenstrasse from 14:00 (local time) on November 3.
  • In London, UK, a pro-Israel protest has been organized at the north side of Vauxhall Bridge at the corner of Bessborough Gardens from 12:30 on November 2.
  • This protest has been organized to counter the protest by the Palestine Solidarity Campaign (PSC) slated from Whitehall to the US Embassy at 12:00 on November 2

Assessments & Forecast

  1. Based on precedent and social media estimates, the slated protests are likely to witness turnouts ranging from the high hundreds to high thousands each. While the pro-Israel protest is likely to see a turnout in the mid-to-high hundreds, the PSC protest may see a turnout upwards to the low tens of thousands.
  2. In addition to the aforementioned protests, the risk of spontaneous pro-Palestinian and pro-Israel demonstrations remains heightened regionwide during the coming weekend. Such protests are likely to occur near central government buildings, Israeli and US diplomatic missions, Jewish and Muslim establishments, and prominent public places in major urban centers across Europe.
  3. Based on precedent, any planned or spontaneous demonstrations carry a heightened potential for unrest. Incidents of unrest are likely to manifest as clashes between protesters and the police, as well as with potential counter-protesters. As such, the demonstrations in London carry an especially heightened risk for unrest as opposing groups may clash.
  4. A bolstered security presence near protest locations is expected to be deployed near all protests monitor proceedings. In the event of escalating unrest, police are liable to use forcible crowd dispersal methods, including conducting mass arrests.
  5. Disruptions to pedestrian and vehicular movement, including road closures and traffic diversions, should be anticipated near the protest locations.

Recommendations

  1. Those operating or residing in Europe on November 2-3 are advised to maintain heightened vigilance near protests related to the Israel-Hamas conflict due to the elevated potential for unrest.
  2. Allot for travel-related disruptions in the vicinity of the protest location.
COUNTRY RISK LEVEL Low
AFFECTED AREA Europe
INCIDENT RISK LEVEL Medium
STRENGTH OF SOURCE Credible