Geopolitical Predictive Analysis – April 2019

May 19

Libya National Army offensive on Tripoli. Security to remain volatile as battles persist.

Elections in South Africa. Heightened tensions to persist over corruption, crime, economy.

Violence in Colombia likely to worsen. Talks with rebels and indigenous groups lead to tensions.

Nationwide polls in Australia. Ruling Coalition sees drop in public favorability ahead of May 18 elections.

Authorities crack down on far-right in Austria and Germany. Likely in attempt to mitigate Christchurch-like attacks.