Geopolitical Predictive Analysis – February 2019

February 19

Presidential elections in Algeria on April 18
Bouteflika likely to be re-elected, anti-Bouteflika protests expected in short-term
Escalation of militancy in Burkina Faso
Insecurity to persist throughout rural areas
Violence continues across Haiti
President unlikely to resign despite increasing unrest and anti-government protests
SVBIED attack in J&K, India
Incident likely to sustain tensions with Pakistan, increase nationalistic rhetoric
Spain heads towards fresh elections
New minority government likely amid continuing political instability