Geopolitical Predictive Analysis – July 2020

July 20

Israel‘s economic downturn amid COVID-19 – Civil unrest to persist, threaten government’s stability

Political crisis in Mali – Large-scale protests to persist in Bamako, nationwide

Violence surges as CJNG expands operations across Mexico – Clashes between cartels to worsen in medium-term

US rejects China’s “nine-dash line demarcation” – Regional and bilateral tensions to increase

Castex announces new French government to include former opposition members – Unrest among left-wing movements to rise in near-term