Geopolitical Predictive Analysis – June 2020

June 20

Israel’s planned ‘annexation’ of parts of the West Bank – Potential implementation unclear, but will regardless destabilize security environment

Militant attack in northern Ivory Coast – Heightened risk of militant spillover in West Africa

Black Lives Matter protests spread across USA – Extremist groups to capitalize on protests, large-scale police reforms unlikely

Destruction of Korean liaison office reiterates cooling relations – Increase in provocations anticipated

EU, USA attempt to broker Kosovo-Serbia agreement – Belgrade not expected to recognize Pristina’s independence