Geopolitical Predictive Analysis – May 2020
May 20
Economic crisis to worsen in Iraq – New government faces increasing insecurity, falling oil revenue
Hidden COVID-19 crisis in Tanzania – Likely to have health, political, economic effects
US citizens involved in failed Venezuela coup – Government to utilize incident to suppress opposition
China pushes national security law in Hong Kong – Likely to intensify local protests
Uptick in IS activity in Europe – Groups likely to use COVID-19 to bolster activity