Geopolitical Predictive Analysis – May 2020

May 20

Economic crisis to worsen in Iraq – New government faces increasing insecurity, falling oil revenue 

Hidden COVID-19 crisis in Tanzania – Likely to have health, political, economic effects

US citizens involved in failed Venezuela coup – Government to utilize incident to suppress opposition

China pushes national security law in Hong Kong – Likely to intensify local protests

Uptick in IS activity in Europe – Groups likely to use COVID-19 to bolster activity