Air Strike

29
Nov 2025
11:56 UTC

Ukraine Alert (UPDATE): Atleast three killed, 15 injured during large-scale nationwide Russian airstrikes during overnight hours (local time) on November 28–29; reiterating heightened threat to civilian infrastructure

Current Situation

  • During the overnight hours (local time) of November 28–29, Russia launched an aerial attack on multiple regions, including Kyiv, using more than 30 missiles and around 600 UAVs. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy confirmed three people killed and at least 16 wounded.  
  • In Kyiv city, the right bank experienced major electricity and water supply disruptions. Moreover, Kharkivske highway was blocked due to the attack. Multiple multi-story residential buildings across Shevchenkivskyi, Solomianskyi, Sviatoshynskyi, Dniprovskyi, and Darnytskyi districts sustained damage.  
  • Furthermore, reports indicate that during the aerial attack, Russia also struck energy infrastructure sites across Kyiv, Chernihiv, Sumy, Poltava, and Kharkiv regions. According to the Ministry of Energy, more than 500,000 consumers in Kyiv city, over 100,000 in Kyiv region, and almost 8,000 in Kharkiv region are facing widespread power outages.   
  • Separately, in response to the Russian airstrikes, Polish forces scrambled jets, and NATO aircraft were deployed to secure Polish airspace, with ground-based air-defense and radar systems placed on their highest state of readiness. 

Source: Sky News

Assessments & Forecast

  1. These strikes mark the third major Russian aerial attack in two weeks involving more than 500 UAVs and missiles in a single wave, reiterating the intensification of Russia’s air-strike campaign. On November 24–25, Russia launched 464 UAVs and 22 missiles, killing six people and injuring 13. On November 18–19, it deployed 476 UAVs and 50 missiles, killing at least 19 people and injuring 66. This escalation demonstrates Moscow’s ability to sustain large, repeated strike waves with limited pauses, likely driven by its expanding industrial capacity, with Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin stating that UAV production has tripled in 2025. 
  2. The repeated targeting of residential areas in Kyiv and other regions highlights the growing threat to civilian infrastructure. According to the November 25 report by the UN Human Rights Monitoring Mission in Ukraine (HRMMU), Russian forces sharply increased long-range strikes in 2025, killing 548 civilians and injuring 3,592 from January to October, a 26 percent rise compared to the same period in 2024. The HRMMU also noted that Russian attacks caused four times more civilian casualties in Kyiv City in the first ten months of 2025 than during all of 2024. These trends reinforce the assessment that Moscow is pursuing a strategy aimed at undermining public morale, particularly as winter heightens the impact of disruptions to electricity, heating, and essential services. 
  3. The scale of the power disruptions also highlights Russia’s ongoing effort to degrade Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, triggering widespread blackouts and sharply reducing generating capacity at the start of winter. Indeed, as per November 9 reports, Russian strikes have driven electricity production to near zero in some areas, forcing nationwide power cuts lasting 8–16 hours per day across multiple regions. The increasing pace and impact of these attacks are expected to make it significantly harder for Ukraine to restore damaged facilities and keep the grid stable. Repeated strikes on generation and transmission sites destroy key equipment and keep repair crews in a constant emergency cycle under the threat of renewed bombardment. Indeed, per November 15 reports, workers are struggling to repair a heavily damaged thermal power plant while also preventing essential systems, including pipelines, from freezing. 
  4. FORECAST: Russia is likely to continue launching large-scale, high-intensity aerial strike waves in the coming weeks, especially as discussions around potential ceasefire negotiations progress. Moscow has repeatedly escalated attacks during periods of diplomatic activity, using intensified strikes to strengthen its bargaining position and project military leverage. 
  5. FORECAST: The sustained air strikes are likely to lengthen restoration timelines, increasing the risk of prolonged nationwide blackouts and disrupting heating, water, and communication networks in major cities as temperatures drop. These continued attacks will likely intensify humanitarian pressures and strain critical urban infrastructure. 

Recommendations

  1. Avoid all travel to Ukraine due to the ongoing hostilities.    
  2. Those continuing to operate in the North and West of Ukraine are advised to adhere to air raid sirens due to the threat of missile and UAV attacks by Russian forces.    
  3. Those operating in the East, South, and Center of Ukraine are advised to minimize outdoor travel and avoid inter-city travel due to the elevated threat of artillery fire and airstrikes.    
  4. Avoid all travel to Crimea due to the ongoing conflict and the potential for sporadic attacks on civilian and critical infrastructure facilities.    
  5. Identify the nearest shelter, which may be a Metro station, and proceed towards it when air sirens are sounded. Prepare emergency kits of food, water, medicine, and clothing in case needed.    
  6. Considering the heightened risk of unpredictable power outages, take mitigatory measures, such as confirming that business locations have working generators, sufficient access to fuel for longer periods, and access to several flashlights. Keep necessary electronics constantly charged.    
  7. For more information on the security situation and assistance, please contact [email protected] 
COUNTRY RISK LEVEL Extreme
AFFECTED AREA Ukraine
INCIDENT RISK LEVEL Extreme
STRENGTH OF SOURCE Credible

Current Situation

  • During the overnight hours (local time) of November 28–29, Russia launched an aerial attack on multiple regions, including Kyiv, using more than 30 missiles and around 600 UAVs. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy confirmed three people killed and at least 16 wounded.  
  • In Kyiv city, the right bank experienced major electricity and water supply disruptions. Moreover, Kharkivske highway was blocked due to the attack. Multiple multi-story residential buildings across Shevchenkivskyi, Solomianskyi, Sviatoshynskyi, Dniprovskyi, and Darnytskyi districts sustained damage.  
  • Furthermore, reports indicate that during the aerial attack, Russia also struck energy infrastructure sites across Kyiv, Chernihiv, Sumy, Poltava, and Kharkiv regions. According to the Ministry of Energy, more than 500,000 consumers in Kyiv city, over 100,000 in Kyiv region, and almost 8,000 in Kharkiv region are facing widespread power outages.   
  • Separately, in response to the Russian airstrikes, Polish forces scrambled jets, and NATO aircraft were deployed to secure Polish airspace, with ground-based air-defense and radar systems placed on their highest state of readiness. 

Source: Sky News

Assessments & Forecast

  1. These strikes mark the third major Russian aerial attack in two weeks involving more than 500 UAVs and missiles in a single wave, reiterating the intensification of Russia’s air-strike campaign. On November 24–25, Russia launched 464 UAVs and 22 missiles, killing six people and injuring 13. On November 18–19, it deployed 476 UAVs and 50 missiles, killing at least 19 people and injuring 66. This escalation demonstrates Moscow’s ability to sustain large, repeated strike waves with limited pauses, likely driven by its expanding industrial capacity, with Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin stating that UAV production has tripled in 2025. 
  2. The repeated targeting of residential areas in Kyiv and other regions highlights the growing threat to civilian infrastructure. According to the November 25 report by the UN Human Rights Monitoring Mission in Ukraine (HRMMU), Russian forces sharply increased long-range strikes in 2025, killing 548 civilians and injuring 3,592 from January to October, a 26 percent rise compared to the same period in 2024. The HRMMU also noted that Russian attacks caused four times more civilian casualties in Kyiv City in the first ten months of 2025 than during all of 2024. These trends reinforce the assessment that Moscow is pursuing a strategy aimed at undermining public morale, particularly as winter heightens the impact of disruptions to electricity, heating, and essential services. 
  3. The scale of the power disruptions also highlights Russia’s ongoing effort to degrade Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, triggering widespread blackouts and sharply reducing generating capacity at the start of winter. Indeed, as per November 9 reports, Russian strikes have driven electricity production to near zero in some areas, forcing nationwide power cuts lasting 8–16 hours per day across multiple regions. The increasing pace and impact of these attacks are expected to make it significantly harder for Ukraine to restore damaged facilities and keep the grid stable. Repeated strikes on generation and transmission sites destroy key equipment and keep repair crews in a constant emergency cycle under the threat of renewed bombardment. Indeed, per November 15 reports, workers are struggling to repair a heavily damaged thermal power plant while also preventing essential systems, including pipelines, from freezing. 
  4. FORECAST: Russia is likely to continue launching large-scale, high-intensity aerial strike waves in the coming weeks, especially as discussions around potential ceasefire negotiations progress. Moscow has repeatedly escalated attacks during periods of diplomatic activity, using intensified strikes to strengthen its bargaining position and project military leverage. 
  5. FORECAST: The sustained air strikes are likely to lengthen restoration timelines, increasing the risk of prolonged nationwide blackouts and disrupting heating, water, and communication networks in major cities as temperatures drop. These continued attacks will likely intensify humanitarian pressures and strain critical urban infrastructure. 

Recommendations

  1. Avoid all travel to Ukraine due to the ongoing hostilities.    
  2. Those continuing to operate in the North and West of Ukraine are advised to adhere to air raid sirens due to the threat of missile and UAV attacks by Russian forces.    
  3. Those operating in the East, South, and Center of Ukraine are advised to minimize outdoor travel and avoid inter-city travel due to the elevated threat of artillery fire and airstrikes.    
  4. Avoid all travel to Crimea due to the ongoing conflict and the potential for sporadic attacks on civilian and critical infrastructure facilities.    
  5. Identify the nearest shelter, which may be a Metro station, and proceed towards it when air sirens are sounded. Prepare emergency kits of food, water, medicine, and clothing in case needed.    
  6. Considering the heightened risk of unpredictable power outages, take mitigatory measures, such as confirming that business locations have working generators, sufficient access to fuel for longer periods, and access to several flashlights. Keep necessary electronics constantly charged.    
  7. For more information on the security situation and assistance, please contact [email protected] 
COUNTRY RISK LEVEL Extreme
AFFECTED AREA Ukraine
INCIDENT RISK LEVEL Extreme
STRENGTH OF SOURCE Credible