Protest

05
Apr 2024
7:53 UTC

Canada & USA Tactical (UPDATE): Pro-Palestinian protests commemorating ‘Al-Quds Day’ slated in multiple cities in Canada, USA between April 5-7; maintain heightened vigilance

Current Situation

  • According to reports, additional pro-Palestinian protests, demanding a ceasefire amid the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict, while also commemorating ‘Al-Quds Day on April 5, are scheduled in multiple cities in Canada and the USA on April 5-7. 
  • In Canada, protests are scheduled as follows: 
    • In Ottawa, ON, a protest will be held at the Canadian Tribute to Human Rights from 14:00 (local time) on April 6. 
    • In Vancouver, BC, a protest is slated at the Vancouver Art Gallery from 14:00 on April 6.
  • In the USA, protests are scheduled as follows: 
    • In Chicago, IL, a protest is slated at the Consulate of Israel from 16:30 on April 5.
    • In Monterey, CA, a protest will take place at Bay Park from 15:00 on April 7.
    • In San Diego, CA, a protest is scheduled at the Waterfront Park from 13:00 on April 5.
    • In Santa Ana, CA, a protest is scheduled at 2323 North Broadway from 13:00 on April 5.
    • In Seattle, WA, a protest will be held at Westlake Park from 16:30 on April 5.

Assessments & Forecast

  1. Based on the social media traction and given that the protests have been organized to coincide with World Al-Quds Day on April 5, the upcoming demonstrations are expected to witness higher attendance than usual. As such, the protests are anticipated to draw varying turnouts between the low-hundreds to mid-thousands at each location. A higher attendance between the low-to-mid thousands can be anticipated in Vancouver, Ottawa, and Chicago. 
  2. Considering heightened sentiments over the ongoing conflict, spontaneous counter-protests by pro-Israel groups in the vicinity of slated pro-Palestinian demonstrations remain likely. These protests could witness a turnout between the low-to-mid dozens. 
  3. Meanwhile, the protests carry a credible potential to escalate into unrest in the form of roadblocks and localized scuffles between pro-Israel protestors and security forces. Should the unrest exacerbate, security forces are likely to conduct mass arrests. 
  4. During protests, isolated security incidents such as verbal harassment and physical assaults against pro-Israeli or pro-Palestinian activists as well as property damage to Jewish-related entities, including anti-Semitic spray-painting on the facades of buildings located near the slated events, remain likely. 
  5. To this end, bolstered security measures are expected near all protest sites to monitor proceedings and divert traffic. Ad-hoc road closures or security cordons also remain likely. 
  6. In addition, significant disruptions to pedestrian and vehicular traffic can be anticipated in the vicinity of the aforementioned protest locations during the slated timings. 

Recommendations

  1. Those operating or residing in the aforementioned cities in Canada and the USA on April 5-7 are advised to maintain heightened vigilance in the vicinity of planned and spontaneous pro-Palestinian protests due to the potential for localized unrest.  
  2. Maintain heightened vigilance for potential security incidents near Israeli and US embassies, synagogues, mosques, and other Jewish entities regionwide.  
  3. Allot for traffic disruptions in the vicinity of all protest locations.  
COUNTRY RISK LEVEL Low
AFFECTED AREA Americas
INCIDENT RISK LEVEL Medium
STRENGTH OF SOURCE Credible

Current Situation

  • According to reports, additional pro-Palestinian protests, demanding a ceasefire amid the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict, while also commemorating ‘Al-Quds Day on April 5, are scheduled in multiple cities in Canada and the USA on April 5-7. 
  • In Canada, protests are scheduled as follows: 
    • In Ottawa, ON, a protest will be held at the Canadian Tribute to Human Rights from 14:00 (local time) on April 6. 
    • In Vancouver, BC, a protest is slated at the Vancouver Art Gallery from 14:00 on April 6.
  • In the USA, protests are scheduled as follows: 
    • In Chicago, IL, a protest is slated at the Consulate of Israel from 16:30 on April 5.
    • In Monterey, CA, a protest will take place at Bay Park from 15:00 on April 7.
    • In San Diego, CA, a protest is scheduled at the Waterfront Park from 13:00 on April 5.
    • In Santa Ana, CA, a protest is scheduled at 2323 North Broadway from 13:00 on April 5.
    • In Seattle, WA, a protest will be held at Westlake Park from 16:30 on April 5.

Assessments & Forecast

  1. Based on the social media traction and given that the protests have been organized to coincide with World Al-Quds Day on April 5, the upcoming demonstrations are expected to witness higher attendance than usual. As such, the protests are anticipated to draw varying turnouts between the low-hundreds to mid-thousands at each location. A higher attendance between the low-to-mid thousands can be anticipated in Vancouver, Ottawa, and Chicago. 
  2. Considering heightened sentiments over the ongoing conflict, spontaneous counter-protests by pro-Israel groups in the vicinity of slated pro-Palestinian demonstrations remain likely. These protests could witness a turnout between the low-to-mid dozens. 
  3. Meanwhile, the protests carry a credible potential to escalate into unrest in the form of roadblocks and localized scuffles between pro-Israel protestors and security forces. Should the unrest exacerbate, security forces are likely to conduct mass arrests. 
  4. During protests, isolated security incidents such as verbal harassment and physical assaults against pro-Israeli or pro-Palestinian activists as well as property damage to Jewish-related entities, including anti-Semitic spray-painting on the facades of buildings located near the slated events, remain likely. 
  5. To this end, bolstered security measures are expected near all protest sites to monitor proceedings and divert traffic. Ad-hoc road closures or security cordons also remain likely. 
  6. In addition, significant disruptions to pedestrian and vehicular traffic can be anticipated in the vicinity of the aforementioned protest locations during the slated timings. 

Recommendations

  1. Those operating or residing in the aforementioned cities in Canada and the USA on April 5-7 are advised to maintain heightened vigilance in the vicinity of planned and spontaneous pro-Palestinian protests due to the potential for localized unrest.  
  2. Maintain heightened vigilance for potential security incidents near Israeli and US embassies, synagogues, mosques, and other Jewish entities regionwide.  
  3. Allot for traffic disruptions in the vicinity of all protest locations.  
COUNTRY RISK LEVEL Low
AFFECTED AREA Americas
INCIDENT RISK LEVEL Medium
STRENGTH OF SOURCE Credible